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Red130
427630.7
802044.5
153857.2
Blue88
473849.4
811923.5
374926.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142725010020025013088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.4
54.354.6
Auto13.4
Teleop35.0
End8.9
red by 7.9
49.40.8
42.743.5
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
Second
44.50.4
41.742.1
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
red by 17.8
3749
#29
26.71.3
20.021.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.2
Third
4276
#25
30.70.4
28.428.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
red by 7.2
8119
#40
23.51.3
13.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned