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Red112
126622.8
669528.9
97357.7
Blue82
396522.9
491916.8
432243.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098020406010012014016018011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
57.70.2
54.154.3
Auto13.8
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 14.7
4322
#22
43.00.2
41.141.3
Auto11.0
Teleop23.2
End8.8
Second
6695
#12
28.90.2
27.227.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End10.2
red by 6.0
3965
#49
22.90.4
18.118.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
1266
#28
22.80.2
17.417.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.8
red by 6.0
4919
#50
16.80.4
19.619.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed