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Red69
889115.2
210233.0
254325.2
Blue100
811923.5
800615.0
347336.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6663405070809010069100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#23
33.00.6
30.130.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
blue by 3.8
36.71.3
34.736.0
Auto8.7
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Second
2543
#20
25.20.6
17.017.7
Auto10.6
Teleop10.8
End3.8
red by 1.7
8119
#40
23.52.1
14.917.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End4.4
Third
8891
#45
15.20.6
12.413.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End4.5
red by 0.2
8006
#33
15.01.3
11.512.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed