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Red55
853714.3
502525.4
427630.7
Blue114
265821.6
153857.2
334121.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691045015055114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25DQ
30.70.9
28.827.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 26.6
57.20.3
54.654.9
Auto13.4
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
5025
#15
25.40.9
23.522.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 3.8
2658
#34
21.60.5
18.418.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Third
8537
#47
14.31.6
16.815.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 7.2
3341
#39
21.60.5
19.920.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned