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Red126
473849.4
59943.8
370417.4
Blue125
800615.0
97357.7
547428.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116874060100140160180200126125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.7
46.747.4
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
blue by 8.3
973
#1
57.72.0
54.956.8
Auto13.8
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
599
#2
43.80.7
39.540.3
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 15.6
5474
#19
28.23.3
17.020.3
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Third
3704
#38
17.41.2
19.120.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End6.9
red by 2.4
8006
#33
15.02.0
13.515.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned