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Red58
282718.6
81218.7
416031.8
Blue67
427630.7
758918.7
889115.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646340507080901005867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#16
31.80.0
25.725.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 1.2
4276
#25
30.70.5
27.828.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
Second
812
#48
18.70.0
16.516.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 0.1
7589
#30
18.70.8
19.320.1
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
2827
#46
18.60.1
16.516.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.2
red by 3.4
8891
#45
15.20.5
12.913.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsEarned