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Red110
347336.7
599323.6
283940.4
Blue87
498422.4
432243.0
651518.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110815010015011087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.4
37.638.0
Auto11.1
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 2.6
4322
#22
43.00.5
42.943.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.2
End8.8
Second
36.70.4
34.434.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.2
End5.9
red by 14.3
4984
#21
22.40.5
16.917.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
Third
5993
#31
23.60.6
27.728.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End4.1
red by 5.4
6515
#37
18.20.8
20.220.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned