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Red96
656043.8
265821.6
528523.0
Blue117
325553.0
153857.2
887015.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731335010015020096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#17
43.81.3
39.540.8
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 13.5
57.20.4
54.854.4
Auto13.4
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
5285
#35
23.01.3
18.319.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 30.0
53.00.4
46.946.5
Auto13.7
Teleop32.4
End6.8
Third
2658
#34
21.62.2
18.620.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End5.8
red by 5.9
8870
#41
15.80.6
15.715.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned