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Red141
312834.9
248545.4
210233.0
Blue112
298418.3
97357.7
59943.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031296080120140160180200141112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#10
45.42.4
39.441.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End8.7
blue by 12.3
973
#1
57.70.7
56.856.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
3128
#14
34.92.4
29.431.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End7.8
blue by 8.9
599
#2
43.80.7
40.339.5
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
2102
#23
33.02.4
31.633.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
red by 14.7
2984
#44
18.31.2
21.019.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned