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Red106
197217.3
210233.0
97357.7
Blue95
656043.8
699541.8
68858.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058220406012014016010695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
57.70.7
53.654.3
Auto13.8
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 13.9
6560
#17
43.81.2
35.937.2
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
2102
#23
33.00.7
25.926.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
blue by 8.8
6995
#26
41.81.3
29.230.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Third
1972
#32
17.31.1
16.317.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 8.9
6885
#43
8.41.7
14.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed