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Red98
651518.2
334121.6
59943.8
Blue46
811923.5
70222.0
441934.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64633040507080901009846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#2
43.83.4
25.729.1
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 9.8
4419
#24
34.01.4
19.718.3
Auto9.4
Teleop16.7
End8.0
Second
3341
#39
21.64.2
18.022.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.6
blue by 1.9
8119
#40
23.51.4
15.413.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End4.4
Third
6515
#37
18.24.2
16.420.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 3.8
702
#42
22.01.1
23.922.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed