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Red81
599323.6
498422.4
312834.9
Blue94
473849.4
427630.7
396522.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59930501508194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#14
34.90.8
27.328.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End7.8
blue by 14.5
49.40.1
40.140.2
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
Second
5993
#31
23.61.2
17.518.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End4.1
blue by 7.0
4276
#25
30.70.1
24.925.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
Third
4984
#21
22.40.9
15.116.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
blue by 0.5
3965
#49
22.90.1
17.717.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed