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Red50
334121.6
491916.8
811923.5
Blue100
282718.6
758918.7
473849.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639420408010012014016050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8119
#40
23.51.4
20.018.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End4.4
blue by 25.9
49.40.4
47.447.8
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
Second
3341
#39
21.61.4
23.522.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 2.8
7589
#30
18.70.7
20.120.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
4919
#50
16.81.4
19.418.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End3.6
blue by 1.8
2827
#46
18.60.7
16.417.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned