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Red131
283940.4
416031.8
70222.0
Blue97
347336.7
641729.5
853714.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9589608010012014013197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.9
38.040.8
Auto11.1
Teleop21.8
End7.5
red by 3.7
36.70.2
34.734.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Second
4160
#16
31.82.9
25.728.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 2.4
6417
#11
29.50.3
29.329.6
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End5.0
Third
702
#42
22.02.9
24.527.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 7.7
8537
#47
14.30.3
20.320.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed