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Red58
651518.2
656043.8
370417.4
Blue78
502525.4
68858.4
364747.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86954060801201405878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#17
43.82.9
40.837.8
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 4.0
3647
#13
47.81.4
46.545.2
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
6515
#37
18.24.9
20.916.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 7.2
5025
#15
25.41.4
25.824.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Third
3704
#38
17.44.9
20.315.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End6.9
red by 9.1
6885
#43
8.42.3
16.013.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed