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Red99
325553.0
427630.7
491916.8
Blue161
802044.5
248545.4
59943.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951405015020099161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.3
47.848.0
Auto13.7
Teleop32.4
End6.8
red by 7.6
2485
#10
45.41.3
41.743.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End8.7
Second
4276
#25
30.70.3
29.129.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
blue by 13.8
44.51.3
44.746.0
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
Third
4919
#50
16.80.4
18.018.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End3.6
blue by 27.0
599
#2
43.81.3
39.540.9
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned