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Red41
853714.3
889115.2
370417.4
Blue133
312834.9
325553.0
374926.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41123010015020041133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3704
#38
17.40.8
18.217.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End6.9
blue by 35.6
53.01.9
49.851.7
Auto13.7
Teleop32.4
End6.8
Second
8891
#45
15.20.5
15.715.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End4.5
blue by 19.8
3128
#14
34.91.9
32.534.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End7.8
Third
8537
#47
14.30.8
15.114.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 12.3
3749
#29
26.72.7
22.925.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned