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Red42
197217.3
599323.6
758918.7
Blue101
283940.4
641729.5
802044.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60141010020042101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5993
#31
23.62.4
26.023.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End4.1
blue by 20.8
44.52.7
46.243.5
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
Second
7589
#30
18.72.4
21.118.7
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End3.7
blue by 21.7
40.42.7
42.139.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Third
1972
#32
17.32.4
19.717.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 12.2
6417
#11
29.53.9
33.429.5
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned