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Red102
283940.4
528523.0
248545.4
Blue135
162236.8
416031.8
656043.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611790100110130140150160102135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#10
45.40.2
45.545.4
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End8.7
red by 1.6
6560
#17
43.80.6
42.643.2
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
40.40.2
40.640.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.8
End7.5
red by 3.6
36.80.6
35.636.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Third
5285
#35
23.00.2
23.123.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 8.9
4160
#16
31.80.6
30.631.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6