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Red122
800615.0
802044.5
699541.8
Blue114
162236.8
416031.8
656043.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041136080120140160122114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.3
43.543.8
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
red by 0.7
6560
#17
43.80.1
41.241.3
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
6995
#26
41.80.3
40.841.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
red by 5.0
36.80.1
34.234.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Third
8006
#33
15.00.3
14.014.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End6.0
blue by 16.8
4160
#16
31.80.1
29.229.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6