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Red139
374926.7
59943.8
473849.4
Blue116
347336.7
312834.9
254325.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299750150200139116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.4
48.448.8
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
red by 12.6
36.70.2
36.236.4
Auto8.7
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Second
599
#2
43.80.4
42.843.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 8.9
3128
#14
34.90.2
34.334.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End7.8
Third
3749
#29
26.70.5
25.626.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.2
red by 1.5
2543
#20
25.20.2
24.624.8
Auto10.6
Teleop10.8
End3.8