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Red146
374926.7
59943.8
473849.4
Blue111
699541.8
802044.5
800615.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010250150200146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.5
48.849.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
red by 4.9
44.50.1
43.843.7
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
Second
599
#2
43.80.5
43.243.7
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 2.0
6995
#26
41.80.1
41.141.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Third
3749
#29
26.70.7
26.126.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.2
red by 11.6
8006
#33
15.00.1
14.314.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End6.0