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Red133
157232.5
364747.8
325553.0
Blue135
162236.8
416031.8
656043.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710950100200133135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.0
53.053.0
Auto13.7
Teleop32.4
End6.8
red by 9.2
6560
#17
43.80.5
42.142.6
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
3647
#13
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 11.0
36.80.5
35.135.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Third
1572
#27
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End7.4
red by 0.7
4160
#16
31.80.5
30.130.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6