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Qual 112023 San Francisco Regional
Red128
58143.2
64945.9
60449.1
Blue73
541940.7
490423.2
801627.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906505010015012873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#8
49.15.2
27.9→33.1
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 8.4
5419
#3
40.70.6
26.4→27.0
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Second
649
#9
45.95.2
29.3→34.5
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
red by 17.9
8016
#26
27.91.0
22.2→23.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
581
#5
43.25.2
24.0→29.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
red by 20.1
4904
#39
23.21.0
15.5→16.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed