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Qual 122023 San Francisco Regional
Red144
592425.5
11543.6
97154.3
Blue30
911412.6
724518.2
641822.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9059010015020014430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
54.36.0
33.9→39.9
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
red by 32.0
6418
#24
22.44.9
23.7→18.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
Second
115
#6
43.66.0
29.1→35.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
red by 25.3
7245
#25
18.24.9
20.8→15.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Third
5924
#20
25.56.0
17.4→23.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
red by 12.9
9114
#28
12.64.9
14.7→9.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed