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Red71
804516.5
550741.3
29914.5
Blue70
900622.2
816928.7
879327.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66674060801007170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.7
30.431.1
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 12.6
8169
#15
28.71.1
19.120.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End7.0
Second
8045
#35
16.50.7
17.017.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 11.1
8793
#18
27.61.1
24.025.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Third
299
#30
14.50.7
17.117.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End5.1
blue by 7.7
9006
#22
22.21.1
17.218.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed