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Qual 152023 San Francisco Regional
Red56
54308.9
911124.1
840438.2
Blue74
170011.1
885229.2
570021.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616902040801001201401605674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#13
38.20.8
26.1→25.4
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 9.0
8852
#12
29.21.0
25.9→24.9
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
9111
#38
24.10.8
17.3→16.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 2.2
5700
#27
21.91.0
22.3→21.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
5430
#41
8.90.8
14.4→13.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End2.4
blue by 2.2
1700
#42
11.11.0
15.1→14.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed