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Qual 212023 San Francisco Regional
Red91
541940.7
900622.2
84119.3
Blue67
914322.3
804516.5
415925.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69640501001502002509167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#3
40.71.8
27.0→28.7
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
red by 14.9
4159
#37
25.81.9
22.4→20.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
Second
9006
#22
22.23.0
18.3→21.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.2
End6.5
blue by 0.1
9143
#40
22.31.9
20.2→18.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Third
841
#21
19.33.0
19.1→22.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
red by 2.8
8045
#35
16.51.9
17.7→15.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed