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Qual 222023 San Francisco Regional
Red109
696222.3
840438.2
60449.1
Blue84
885229.2
58143.2
911124.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887805015020025030010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#8
49.12.0
31.2→33.1
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 5.8
581
#5
43.21.1
32.8→33.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
Second
8404
#13
38.22.0
25.4→27.3
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 9.0
8852
#12
29.21.1
24.9→26.0
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
6962
#11
22.32.0
24.7→26.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.8
blue by 1.8
9111
#38
24.11.1
16.5→17.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned