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Red50
490423.2
170011.1
914322.3
Blue89
11543.6
816928.7
84119.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478701001505089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#39
23.20.4
16.716.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End5.0
blue by 20.4
115
#6
43.60.3
34.434.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
Second
9143
#40
22.30.4
18.217.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End5.2
blue by 6.4
8169
#15
28.70.3
20.020.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End7.0
Third
1700
#42
11.10.4
14.113.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.8
blue by 8.1
841
#21
19.30.3
22.122.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned