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Red43
884022.0
804516.5
801627.9
Blue90
135147.6
415925.8
592425.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529001001504390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#26
27.91.8
23.021.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 19.7
47.61.1
36.037.1
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
8840
#36
22.01.8
15.213.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
blue by 3.8
4159
#37
25.81.1
20.521.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
Third
8045
#35
16.51.8
15.814.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 9.0
5924
#20
25.51.1
23.524.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsMissed