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Qual 352023 San Francisco Regional
Red58
903832.2
170011.1
11543.6
Blue71
84119.3
801627.9
592425.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81712040601001201401605871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#6
43.61.8
34.7→32.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
red by 15.6
8016
#26
27.90.2
21.2→20.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Second
9038
#14
32.21.8
26.3→24.4
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
red by 6.7
5924
#20
25.50.2
24.6→24.4
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
Third
1700
#42
11.11.8
13.6→11.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.8
blue by 8.1
841
#21
19.30.2
22.4→22.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed