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Qual 362023 San Francisco Regional
Red86
64945.9
97244.1
285424.8
Blue98
476515.5
550741.3
97154.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021077080901201301401508698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#9
45.92.3
37.7→35.4
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
blue by 8.5
971
#2
54.30.2
49.0→48.8
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
Second
972
#17
44.11.4
39.2→37.8
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
red by 2.8
5507
#1
41.30.2
34.0→33.8
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
2854
#10
24.82.3
19.9→17.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.5
End5.5
red by 9.4
4765
#31
15.50.2
17.1→16.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned