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Red72
875118.8
912531.0
415925.8
Blue95
58143.2
304525.0
724518.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567920401001201407295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9125
#32
31.01.8
14.115.9
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End7.6
blue by 12.3
581
#5
43.22.6
35.738.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
Second
4159
#37
25.81.8
22.224.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
red by 0.8
3045
#33
25.02.6
20.623.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End5.5
Third
8751
#16
18.81.8
19.321.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End6.8
red by 0.6
7245
#25
18.22.6
15.317.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned