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Qual 392023 San Francisco Regional
Red94
816928.7
541940.7
54308.9
Blue77
840438.2
884022.0
641822.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73703040506080901001109477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#3
40.71.7
33.7→35.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
red by 2.5
8404
#13
38.21.3
24.9→26.1
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Second
8169
#15
28.72.9
20.8→23.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End7.0
red by 6.3
6418
#24
22.41.3
23.1→24.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
Third
5430
#41
8.92.9
13.6→16.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End2.4
blue by 13.1
8840
#36
22.01.3
17.7→19.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed