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Qual 402023 San Francisco Regional
Red82
801627.9
911412.6
11445.4
Blue73
885229.2
84119.3
196731.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818440601001208273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
45.40.6
43.4→44.0
Auto12.6
Teleop26.6
End6.2
red by 13.7
1967
#19
31.80.6
28.8→28.2
Auto11.3
Teleop12.1
End8.4
Second
8016
#26
27.90.6
20.9→21.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 1.3
8852
#12
29.20.6
27.7→27.1
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
9114
#28
12.60.6
12.0→12.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 6.6
841
#21
19.30.6
22.1→21.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned