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Red70
418619.0
816928.7
696222.3
Blue120
592425.5
11445.4
541940.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711162040608010014016018070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#15
28.71.9
23.721.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End7.0
blue by 16.7
114
#7
45.41.9
44.045.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Second
6962
#11
22.31.9
26.424.5
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.8
blue by 18.4
40.71.2
35.436.5
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Third
4186
#23
19.01.9
22.020.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End4.7
blue by 6.5
5924
#20
25.51.9
23.325.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned