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Red107
903832.2
466916.3
60449.1
Blue100
135147.6
64945.9
170011.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889150100150107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#8
49.12.7
40.843.5
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 1.5
47.61.7
38.840.5
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
9038
#14
32.22.7
23.626.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 13.7
649
#9
45.91.7
35.437.0
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
Third
4669
#29
16.32.7
18.421.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 5.2
1700
#42
11.11.7
10.812.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned