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Red38
879327.6
54308.9
661919.9
Blue120
11543.6
801627.9
875118.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618720408010012014038120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#18
27.62.5
19.917.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
blue by 15.9
115
#6
43.62.0
35.237.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
Second
6619
#34
19.92.5
23.821.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 8.0
8016
#26
27.92.0
21.623.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
5430
#41
8.92.5
16.514.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End2.4
blue by 9.9
8751
#16
18.82.0
21.123.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsEarned