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Red92
840438.2
724518.2
490423.2
Blue69
476515.5
196731.8
900622.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7273506080901001109269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#13
38.22.0
32.033.9
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 6.4
1967
#19
31.80.4
29.929.4
Auto11.3
Teleop12.1
End8.4
Second
4904
#39
23.22.1
16.618.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 0.9
9006
#22
22.20.4
24.323.8
Auto2.5
Teleop13.2
End6.5
Third
7245
#25
18.22.0
19.521.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
red by 2.8
4765
#31
15.50.4
13.913.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned