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Red87
884022.0
592425.5
885229.2
Blue111
97244.1
541940.7
29914.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7796406012014087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#12
29.20.7
29.129.8
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
blue by 14.9
972
#17
44.10.9
38.639.5
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
Second
5924
#20
25.50.7
25.326.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
blue by 15.2
40.70.9
36.537.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Third
8840
#36
22.00.7
20.621.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
red by 7.6
299
#30
14.51.5
12.714.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed