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Qual 52023 San Francisco Regional
Red115
550741.3
801627.9
58143.2
Blue129
11445.4
135147.6
696222.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6273204080100120115129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#5
43.25.6
18.4→24.0
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
blue by 4.4
1351
#4
47.66.8
21.6→28.4
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
5507
#1
41.35.6
24.8→30.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
blue by 4.2
114
#7
45.46.8
26.0→32.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Third
8016
#26
27.95.6
16.6→22.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 5.7
6962
#11
22.36.8
19.8→26.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned