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Red55
541940.7
804516.5
911412.6
Blue111
724518.2
879327.6
97244.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677305010015020055111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.2
27.626.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
blue by 3.4
972
#17
44.13.2
32.836.0
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
Second
8045
#35
16.52.0
19.017.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 11.1
8793
#18
27.64.8
19.224.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Third
9114
#28
12.60.9
13.814.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 5.6
7245
#25
18.24.8
16.020.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned