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Red92
97154.3
885229.2
804516.5
Blue118
661919.9
11543.6
58143.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510570809010011012013014092118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
54.30.6
51.050.4
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
red by 10.8
115
#6
43.61.9
40.342.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
Second
8852
#12
29.20.6
29.829.2
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
blue by 14.0
581
#5
43.21.9
39.541.4
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
Third
8045
#35
16.50.6
17.917.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 3.4
6619
#34
19.91.9
18.420.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned