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Qual 632023 San Francisco Regional
Red84
641822.4
84119.3
415925.8
Blue97
64945.9
696222.3
875118.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648902040801001201401608497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#37
25.81.0
23.3→24.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
blue by 20.0
649
#9
45.91.6
40.7→42.3
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
Second
6418
#24
22.41.0
24.4→25.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 0.1
6962
#11
22.31.7
19.5→21.2
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Third
841
#21
19.31.0
15.7→16.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
red by 0.4
8751
#16
18.81.6
20.3→21.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned