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Red86
11445.4
816928.7
550741.3
Blue69
196731.8
885229.2
592425.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13390501001502008669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
45.40.9
46.745.8
Auto12.6
Teleop26.6
End6.2
red by 13.7
1967
#19
31.80.8
33.032.2
Auto11.3
Teleop12.1
End8.4
Second
41.30.9
42.541.6
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 12.1
8852
#12
29.20.8
30.429.6
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
8169
#15
28.70.9
29.929.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End7.0
red by 3.2
5924
#20
25.50.8
26.725.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4