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Red143
135147.6
914322.3
11543.6
Blue135
58143.2
840438.2
84119.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119102406080140160180143135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.8
46.247.0
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
red by 4.4
581
#5
43.20.2
42.342.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
Second
115
#6
43.60.8
42.242.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
red by 5.4
8404
#13
38.20.2
37.237.5
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Third
9143
#40
22.30.9
20.821.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End5.2
red by 3.1
841
#21
19.30.2
18.318.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8