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Red152
801627.9
97154.3
97244.1
Blue60
696222.3
285424.8
415925.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347105010015015260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
54.30.8
51.352.1
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
red by 28.5
4159
#37
25.80.5
26.525.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
Second
972
#17
44.10.6
41.642.3
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
red by 19.3
2854
#10
24.80.5
25.524.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Third
8016
#26
27.90.8
24.925.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 5.7
6962
#11
22.30.6
23.022.4
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.8