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Red123
912531.0
60449.1
541940.7
Blue149
64945.9
903832.2
879327.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710550150200123149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#8
49.10.2
47.447.6
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 3.2
649
#9
45.90.5
44.545.0
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
Second
40.70.2
39.339.5
Auto11.0
Teleop22.3
End7.5
red by 8.5
9038
#14
32.20.5
30.831.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Third
9125
#32
31.00.2
29.329.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End7.6
red by 3.4
8793
#18
27.60.5
26.226.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2