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Red59
76635.8
688432.5
681420.7
Blue119
84125.1
517141.3
186857.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85106406012014016059119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#28
35.81.9
35.033.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8
blue by 21.3
1868
#10
57.11.5
46.748.2
Auto15.9
Teleop31.0
End9.9
Second
6884
#21
32.51.7
27.125.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.8
blue by 8.8
5171
#15
41.31.7
30.732.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0
Third
6814
#34
20.71.7
19.918.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
blue by 4.4
841
#30
25.11.8
19.321.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned